Arkansas State
Sun Belt
2016 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2016
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Toledo | 31–10 | — | — |
| Week 2 | @ Auburn | 51–14 | — | — |
| Week 3 | @ Utah State | 34–20 | — | — |
| Week 6 | vs Georgia Southern | 26–27 | — | — |
| Week 7 | vs South Alabama | 7–17 | — | — |
| Week 9 | vs UL Monroe | 10–51 | — | — |
| Week 10 | @ Georgia State | 16–31 | — | — |
| Week 11 | vs New Mexico State | 22–41 | — | — |
| Week 12 | @ Troy | 3–35 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ Louisiana | 24–19 | — | — |
| Week 14 | @ Texas State | 14–36 | — | — |
| Week 1 | @ UCF | 13–31 | — | — |