2023 Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023, 4:00 PM · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)

Arkansas State @ Oklahoma

Predicted scoreConfident

Arkansas State

17.9

Oklahoma

44.0

Oklahoma win probability: 94%

Margin (Oklahoma − Arkansas State): 26.2 (80% range 4 to 48)

Total: 61.9 (80% range 37 to 87)

Actual: Arkansas State 0 – Oklahoma 73 (margin error 46.8, total error 11.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.