2024 Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024, 8:00 PM · Centennial Bank Stadium

Old Dominion @ Arkansas State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Old Dominion

32.0

Arkansas State

29.3

Arkansas State win probability: 43%

Margin (Arkansas State − Old Dominion): -2.7 (80% range -24 to 18)

Total: 61.3 (80% range 37 to 87)

Actual: Old Dominion 40 – Arkansas State 32 (margin error 5.3, total error 10.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.