Texas State
Pac-12
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs UTSA | 10–49 | 29.4–19.9 | 48.5 |
| Week 3 | vs Arizona State | 31–28 | 31.5–24.6 | 3.9 |
| Week 5 | @ Sam Houston | 40–39 | 23.3–29.1 | 6.8 |
| Week 6 | @ Troy | 17–38 | 28.7–28.1 | 21.6 |
| Week 7 | vs Arkansas State | 9–41 | 26.1–34.8 | 23.2 |
| Week 8 | @ Old Dominion | 24–14 | 24.4–32.5 | 18.1 |
| Week 10 | vs Louisiana | 23–17 | 24.7–32.7 | 14.0 |
| Week 11 | @ UL Monroe | 17–38 | 23.4–28.7 | 15.7 |
| Week 12 | vs Southern Miss | 3–58 | 17.2–37.8 | 34.3 |
| Week 13 | vs Georgia State | 52–44 | 20.6–36.4 | 23.8 |
| Week 14 | @ South Alabama | 38–45 | 28.1–29.0 | 6.1 |
| Week 1 | vs North Texas | 28–30 | 30.2–31.5 | 0.7 |