Texas State
Pac-12
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Baylor | 31–42 | 40.3–14.1 | 37.2 |
| Week 2 | @ UTSA | 20–13 | 29.7–21.9 | 0.8 |
| Week 4 | vs Nevada | 24–35 | 22.6–29.1 | 4.6 |
| Week 5 | @ Southern Miss | 36–50 | 21.6–27.6 | 8.1 |
| Week 6 | @ Louisiana | 34–30 | 27.8–25.0 | 1.2 |
| Week 7 | vs UL Monroe | 20–21 | 22.1–32.4 | 9.3 |
| Week 9 | vs Troy | 31–13 | 26.8–21.2 | 12.4 |
| Week 10 | vs Georgia Southern | 24–45 | 25.1–26.8 | 19.3 |
| Week 11 | @ Coastal Carolina | 31–23 | 28.7–24.1 | 3.4 |
| Week 12 | @ Arkansas State | 77–31 | 27.1–31.9 | 50.8 |
| Week 13 | vs South Alabama | 44–52 | 30.2–21.0 | 17.2 |
| Week 1 | @ Rice | 21–45 | 22.7–26.4 | 20.2 |