Texas State
Pac-12
2021 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2021
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Baylor | 29–20 | — | — |
| Week 2 | @ Florida International | 17–23 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ Eastern Michigan | 59–21 | — | — |
| Week 6 | vs South Alabama | 31–33 | — | — |
| Week 7 | vs Troy | 31–28 | — | — |
| Week 8 | @ Georgia State | 28–16 | — | — |
| Week 9 | @ Louisiana | 45–0 | — | — |
| Week 10 | vs UL Monroe | 19–27 | — | — |
| Week 11 | vs Georgia Southern | 38–30 | — | — |
| Week 12 | @ Coastal Carolina | 35–21 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ Arkansas State | 22–24 | — | — |