Texas State
Pac-12
2016 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2016
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Ohio | 54–56 | — | — |
| Week 3 | @ Arkansas | 42–3 | — | — |
| Week 4 | vs Houston | 64–3 | — | — |
| Week 6 | @ Georgia State | 41–21 | — | — |
| Week 7 | @ UL Monroe | 40–34 | — | — |
| Week 8 | vs Louisiana | 27–3 | — | — |
| Week 10 | @ App State | 35–10 | — | — |
| Week 11 | vs Idaho | 47–14 | — | — |
| Week 12 | @ New Mexico State | 50–10 | — | — |
| Week 13 | vs Troy | 40–7 | — | — |
| Week 14 | vs Arkansas State | 36–14 | — | — |