2024 Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024, 7:30 PM · S.B. Ballard Stadium

Texas State @ Old Dominion

Predicted scoreLean

Texas State

32.5

Old Dominion

24.4

Old Dominion win probability: 31%

Margin (Old Dominion − Texas State): -8.1 (80% range -28 to 13)

Total: 56.9 (80% range 34 to 82)

Actual: Texas State 14 – Old Dominion 24 (margin error 18.1, total error 18.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.