South Florida
American Athletic
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Boise State | 7–34 | 31.4–24.9 | 33.5 |
| Week 2 | @ Florida | 16–18 | 33.3–19.5 | 15.8 |
| Week 3 | @ Miami | 49–12 | 37.2–17.7 | 17.5 |
| Week 6 | vs Charlotte | 26–54 | 16.5–35.4 | 9.2 |
| Week 7 | @ North Texas | 36–63 | 32.8–25.4 | 34.4 |
| Week 8 | vs Florida Atlantic | 13–48 | 18.8–34.1 | 19.8 |
| Week 9 | @ Memphis | 34–31 | 27.6–28.7 | 4.1 |
| Week 11 | vs UTSA | 23–55 | 23.9–29.5 | 26.5 |
| Week 12 | @ Navy | 41–38 | 25.1–27.1 | 4.9 |
| Week 13 | @ UAB | 18–48 | 20.1–35.6 | 14.4 |
| Week 14 | vs Rice | 3–52 | 15.4–35.4 | 29.0 |
| Week 1 | vs Old Dominion | 24–10 | 28.0–26.5 | 12.5 |