South Florida
American Athletic
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Western Kentucky | 41–24 | 34.9–21.9 | 4.0 |
| Week 3 | vs Alabama | 17–3 | 40.8–15.4 | 11.4 |
| Week 4 | vs Rice | 29–42 | 19.0–31.0 | 0.9 |
| Week 5 | @ Navy | 30–44 | 23.6–24.7 | 12.9 |
| Week 6 | @ UAB | 56–35 | 27.1–29.9 | 23.8 |
| Week 7 | vs Florida Atlantic | 56–14 | 22.8–30.1 | 49.3 |
| Week 8 | @ UConn | 21–24 | 24.8–28.8 | 1.0 |
| Week 10 | @ Memphis | 59–50 | 34.6–23.4 | 2.2 |
| Week 11 | vs Temple | 23–27 | 21.6–37.0 | 11.5 |
| Week 12 | @ UTSA | 49–21 | 33.1–23.7 | 18.6 |
| Week 13 | vs Charlotte | 14–48 | 24.2–30.3 | 27.9 |
| Week 1 | @ Syracuse | 0–45 | 35.8–22.5 | 58.3 |