South Florida
American Athletic
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Alabama | 42–16 | 42.9–10.1 | 6.8 |
| Week 3 | @ Southern Miss | 24–49 | 23.6–31.8 | 16.8 |
| Week 4 | vs Miami | 50–15 | 36.7–21.0 | 19.3 |
| Week 5 | @ Tulane | 45–10 | 29.6–24.9 | 30.4 |
| Week 7 | vs Memphis | 21–3 | 35.1–27.5 | 10.4 |
| Week 8 | vs UAB | 25–35 | 26.3–32.4 | 3.9 |
| Week 10 | @ Florida Atlantic | 21–44 | 26.0–26.8 | 22.2 |
| Week 11 | vs Navy | 28–7 | 26.5–23.4 | 17.9 |
| Week 12 | @ Charlotte | 24–59 | 25.9–27.6 | 33.3 |
| Week 13 | vs Tulsa | 30–63 | 20.2–35.8 | 17.4 |
| Week 14 | @ Rice | 35–28 | 22.4–27.8 | 12.3 |
| Week 1 | @ San José State | 39–41 | 37.1–24.8 | 14.3 |