2024 Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024, 7:30 PM · Camping World Stadium (neutral site)

Memphis @ South Florida

Predicted scoreLean

Memphis

35.1

South Florida

27.5

South Florida win probability: 33%

Margin (South Florida − Memphis): -7.6 (80% range -28 to 14)

Total: 62.6 (80% range 38 to 90)

Actual: Memphis 21 – South Florida 3 (margin error 10.4, total error 38.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.