2024 Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024, 8:30 PM · Jerry Richardson Stadium

South Florida @ Charlotte

Predicted scoreToss-up

South Florida

27.6

Charlotte

25.9

Charlotte win probability: 46%

Margin (Charlotte − South Florida): -1.7 (80% range -22 to 18)

Total: 53.5 (80% range 31 to 78)

Actual: South Florida 59 – Charlotte 24 (margin error 33.3, total error 29.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.