2024 Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024, 7:30 PM · Raymond James Stadium
UAB @ South Florida
Predicted scoreLean
UAB
26.3
South Florida
32.4
South Florida win probability: 64%
Margin (South Florida − UAB): 6.1 (80% range -14 to 28)
Total: 58.8 (80% range 34 to 85)
Actual: UAB 25 – South Florida 35 (margin error 3.9, total error 1.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.58% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.57% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.56% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.55% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.