2024 Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024, 11:00 PM · Bryant-Denny Stadium

South Florida @ Alabama

Predicted scoreConfident

South Florida

10.1

Alabama

42.9

Alabama win probability: 98%

Margin (Alabama − South Florida): 32.8 (80% range 13 to 55)

Total: 53.0 (80% range 31 to 76)

Actual: South Florida 16 – Alabama 42 (margin error 6.8, total error 5.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.