South Florida
American Athletic
2016 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2016
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs Northern Illinois | 17–48 | — | — |
| Week 3 | @ Syracuse | 20–45 | — | — |
| Week 4 | vs Florida State | 55–35 | — | — |
| Week 5 | @ Cincinnati | 20–45 | — | — |
| Week 6 | vs East Carolina | 22–38 | — | — |
| Week 7 | vs UConn | 27–42 | — | — |
| Week 8 | @ Temple | 46–30 | — | — |
| Week 9 | vs Navy | 45–52 | — | — |
| Week 11 | @ Memphis | 42–49 | — | — |
| Week 12 | @ SMU | 27–35 | — | — |
| Week 13 | vs UCF | 31–48 | — | — |
| Week 1 | @ South Carolina | 39–46 | — | — |