Sam's Scores

South Florida

American Athletic

2026202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014
2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts
WeekOpponentPredicted scoreWin prob
Week 9vs UAB19.7–30.876%
Week 10@ East Carolina22.9–26.559%
Week 11vs Memphis27.5–28.954%
Week 12@ Florida Atlantic25.0–30.864%
Week 13vs Tulane23.9–25.053%
Past prediction accuracy — 2026
WeekOpponentActualPredictedMargin error
Week 1vs Florida International9–1916.3–35.89.6
Week 2@ Army24–2823.4–24.72.7
Week 3vs Delaware State17–59——
Week 4@ Bowling Green6–1416.4–36.311.8
Week 5vs Temple17–1323.9–34.814.9
Week 6@ UTSA31–2426.6–25.66.0
Week 7vs Kent State2–2914.1–37.53.5