2026 Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026, 4:00 AM · Raymond James Stadium
Kent State @ South Florida
Predicted scoreConfident
Kent State
14.0
South Florida
40.6
South Florida win probability: 95%
Margin (South Florida − Kent State): 26.6 (80% range 7 to 48)
Total: 54.6 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 38 | 0.82% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 7 | 28 | 0.73% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.73% |
| 10 | 45 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:37 PM | 26.6 | 54.7 | 95% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:34 PM | 26.5 | 54.7 | 95% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:52 PM | 26.6 | 54.6 | 95% |