2026 Week 13 · Nov 27, 2026, 5:00 AM · Raymond James Stadium
Tulane @ South Florida
Predicted scoreLean
Tulane
24.5
South Florida
29.9
South Florida win probability: 63%
Margin (South Florida − Tulane): 5.4 (80% range -14 to 25)
Total: 54.4 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.67% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.58% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:09 PM | 5.5 | 54.3 | 63% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:59 PM | 5.5 | 54.3 | 63% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:02 PM | 5.4 | 54.4 | 63% |