2026 Week 5 · Oct 3, 2026, 4:00 AM · Raymond James Stadium
Temple @ South Florida
Predicted scoreConfident
Temple
19.6
South Florida
38.4
South Florida win probability: 87%
Margin (South Florida − Temple): 18.8 (80% range -3 to 40)
Total: 58.0 (80% range 34 to 83)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 38 | 0.66% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:10 PM | 18.8 | 58.1 | 87% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:15 PM | 18.8 | 58.0 | 87% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:28:40 PM | 18.8 | 58.0 | 87% |