2024 Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024, 7:00 PM · Rice Stadium
South Florida @ Rice
Predicted scoreLean
South Florida
27.8
Rice
22.4
Rice win probability: 37%
Margin (Rice − South Florida): -5.3 (80% range -25 to 14)
Total: 50.2 (80% range 28 to 74)
Actual: South Florida 28 – Rice 35 (margin error 12.3, total error 12.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.