2024 Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024, 4:00 PM · Yulman Stadium
South Florida @ Tulane
Predicted scoreLean
South Florida
24.9
Tulane
29.6
Tulane win probability: 62%
Margin (Tulane − South Florida): 4.6 (80% range -16 to 25)
Total: 54.5 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: South Florida 10 – Tulane 45 (margin error 30.4, total error 0.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.