2023 Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023, 7:30 PM · Pratt & Whitney Stadium

South Florida @ UConn

Predicted scoreToss-up

South Florida

28.8

UConn

24.8

UConn win probability: 40%

Margin (UConn − South Florida): -4.0 (80% range -25 to 17)

Total: 53.6 (80% range 31 to 78)

Actual: South Florida 24 – UConn 21 (margin error 1.0, total error 8.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.