2023 Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023, 8:00 PM · Raymond James Stadium
Rice @ South Florida
Predicted scoreLikely
Rice
19.0
South Florida
31.0
South Florida win probability: 78%
Margin (South Florida − Rice): 12.1 (80% range -7 to 32)
Total: 50.0 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: Rice 29 – South Florida 42 (margin error 0.9, total error 21.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.94% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 10 | 21 | 0.68% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.