2023 Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023, 5:00 PM · Raymond James Stadium

Temple @ South Florida

Predicted scoreLikely

Temple

21.6

South Florida

37.0

South Florida win probability: 83%

Margin (South Florida − Temple): 15.5 (80% range -5 to 36)

Total: 58.6 (80% range 34 to 84)

Actual: Temple 23 – South Florida 27 (margin error 11.5, total error 8.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.