2023 Week 13 · Nov 26, 2023, 12:30 AM · Raymond James Stadium

Charlotte @ South Florida

Predicted scoreLean

Charlotte

24.2

South Florida

30.3

South Florida win probability: 65%

Margin (South Florida − Charlotte): 6.1 (80% range -14 to 27)

Total: 54.5 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Charlotte 14 – South Florida 48 (margin error 27.9, total error 7.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.