2023 Postseason · Dec 22, 2023, 1:00 AM · FAU Stadium (neutral site)
South Florida @ Syracuse
Predicted scoreLikely
South Florida
22.5
Syracuse
35.8
Syracuse win probability: 79%
Margin (Syracuse − South Florida): 13.3 (80% range -7 to 35)
Total: 58.3 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: South Florida 45 – Syracuse 0 (margin error 58.3, total error 13.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 21 | 38 | 0.59% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.58% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.