2023 Postseason · Dec 22, 2023, 1:00 AM · FAU Stadium (neutral site)

South Florida @ Syracuse

Predicted scoreLikely

South Florida

22.5

Syracuse

35.8

Syracuse win probability: 79%

Margin (Syracuse − South Florida): 13.3 (80% range -7 to 35)

Total: 58.3 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: South Florida 45 – Syracuse 0 (margin error 58.3, total error 13.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.