2025 Postseason · Dec 17, 2025, 10:00 PM · Camping World Stadium (neutral site)

Old Dominion @ South Florida

Predicted scoreToss-up

Old Dominion

28.0

South Florida

26.5

South Florida win probability: 46%

Margin (South Florida − Old Dominion): -1.5 (80% range -21 to 19)

Total: 54.5 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Old Dominion 24 – South Florida 10 (margin error 12.5, total error 20.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.