2025 Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025, 8:15 PM · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium

South Florida @ Florida

Predicted scoreLikely

South Florida

19.5

Florida

33.3

Florida win probability: 80%

Margin (Florida − South Florida): 13.8 (80% range -7 to 35)

Total: 52.8 (80% range 30 to 77)

Actual: South Florida 18 – Florida 16 (margin error 15.8, total error 18.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.