2025 Week 7 · Oct 10, 2025, 11:30 PM · DATCU Stadium
South Florida @ North Texas
Predicted scoreLean
South Florida
25.4
North Texas
32.8
North Texas win probability: 67%
Margin (North Texas − South Florida): 7.4 (80% range -14 to 28)
Total: 58.3 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: South Florida 63 – North Texas 36 (margin error 34.4, total error 40.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.67% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.62% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.