2025 Week 14 · Nov 30, 2025, 12:00 AM · Raymond James Stadium

Rice @ South Florida

Predicted scoreConfident

Rice

15.4

South Florida

35.4

South Florida win probability: 90%

Margin (South Florida − Rice): 20.0 (80% range 0 to 41)

Total: 50.8 (80% range 28 to 74)

Actual: Rice 3 – South Florida 52 (margin error 29.0, total error 4.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.