2025 Week 14 · Nov 30, 2025, 12:00 AM · Raymond James Stadium
Rice @ South Florida
Predicted scoreConfident
Rice
15.4
South Florida
35.4
South Florida win probability: 90%
Margin (South Florida − Rice): 20.0 (80% range 0 to 41)
Total: 50.8 (80% range 28 to 74)
Actual: Rice 3 – South Florida 52 (margin error 29.0, total error 4.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.77% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.75% |
| 7 | 28 | 0.73% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.