South Alabama
Sun Belt
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Tulane | 37–17 | 32.2–21.2 | 9.0 |
| Week 3 | @ Oklahoma State | 7–33 | 29.7–20.0 | 35.7 |
| Week 4 | vs Central Michigan | 34–30 | 18.3–34.4 | 20.1 |
| Week 5 | @ James Madison | 31–23 | 26.2–27.7 | 9.5 |
| Week 6 | @ UL Monroe | 7–55 | 18.7–31.3 | 35.4 |
| Week 8 | vs Southern Miss | 3–55 | 14.5–34.8 | 31.7 |
| Week 9 | vs Louisiana | 33–20 | 20.7–32.7 | 25.1 |
| Week 10 | @ Troy | 28–10 | 23.4–24.0 | 18.5 |
| Week 11 | vs Arkansas State | 14–21 | 19.6–39.5 | 12.9 |
| Week 12 | vs Marshall | 0–28 | 19.0–28.9 | 18.1 |
| Week 13 | @ Texas State | 52–44 | 21.0–30.2 | 17.2 |
| Week 1 | @ Eastern Michigan | 10–59 | 24.5–30.9 | 42.6 |