South Alabama
Sun Belt
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs North Texas | 52–38 | 23.4–33.5 | 24.1 |
| Week 2 | @ Ohio | 27–20 | 29.3–25.4 | 3.0 |
| Week 4 | @ App State | 14–48 | 29.6–29.4 | 34.2 |
| Week 5 | @ LSU | 42–10 | 36.9–24.7 | 19.8 |
| Week 6 | @ Arkansas State | 18–16 | 29.2–31.7 | 4.5 |
| Week 8 | vs Troy | 9–25 | 25.6–27.6 | 14.1 |
| Week 9 | vs UL Monroe | 17–46 | 21.0–27.8 | 22.3 |
| Week 10 | vs Georgia Southern | 34–30 | 22.6–31.6 | 13.0 |
| Week 12 | @ Louisiana | 22–24 | 28.3–26.7 | 3.6 |
| Week 13 | @ Southern Miss | 14–35 | 18.8–34.9 | 4.9 |
| Week 14 | vs Texas State | 45–38 | 29.0–28.1 | 6.1 |
| Week 1 | @ Western Michigan | 23–30 | 18.8–34.2 | 8.5 |