2024 Week 12 · Nov 17, 2024, 12:00 AM · Cajun Field
South Alabama @ Louisiana
Predicted scoreToss-up
South Alabama
26.7
Louisiana
28.3
Louisiana win probability: 54%
Margin (Louisiana − South Alabama): 1.6 (80% range -18 to 21)
Total: 55.0 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: South Alabama 24 – Louisiana 22 (margin error 3.6, total error 9.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.