South Alabama
Sun Belt
2026 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Upcoming forecasts
| Week | Opponent | Predicted score | Win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Tulane | 32.9–19.6 | 20% |
| Week 3 | vs Ohio | 28.5–24.2 | 39% |
| Week 4 | @ Kentucky | 33.5–17.3 | 15% |
| Week 5 | vs UL Monroe | 21.2–30.6 | 72% |
| Week 6 | @ Arkansas State | 27.5–29.2 | 54% |
| Week 8 | @ Marshall | 30.4–27.2 | 42% |
| Week 9 | vs Louisiana Tech | 25.7–26.8 | 53% |
| Week 10 | @ Louisiana | 28.1–25.2 | 43% |
| Week 11 | vs Troy | 24.3–26.2 | 55% |
| Week 12 | @ Southern Miss | 26.5–27.9 | 54% |
| Week 13 | vs App State | 25.2–30.5 | 62% |
Past prediction accuracy — 2026
No completed, graded games for 2026 yet.