South Alabama
Sun Belt
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs Tulane | 33–31 | 29.6–22.8 | 4.8 |
| Week 3 | @ Auburn | 31–15 | 33.5–18.0 | 0.5 |
| Week 4 | vs Coastal Carolina | 38–20 | 19.2–30.9 | 29.7 |
| Week 5 | @ North Texas | 36–22 | 36.6–24.9 | 2.3 |
| Week 6 | @ Troy | 31–24 | 24.9–27.2 | 9.3 |
| Week 8 | vs Arkansas State | 15–14 | 24.2–36.6 | 13.4 |
| Week 9 | @ Georgia State | 31–38 | 24.4–31.3 | 0.1 |
| Week 10 | vs Louisiana | 31–22 | 23.8–28.7 | 13.9 |
| Week 12 | @ UL Monroe | 14–26 | 22.3–30.5 | 3.8 |
| Week 13 | vs Southern Miss | 35–42 | 24.2–29.3 | 1.8 |
| Week 14 | @ Texas State | 49–26 | 34.2–27.4 | 16.2 |