2025 Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025, 4:45 PM · Jordan-Hare Stadium
South Alabama @ Auburn
Predicted scoreLikely
South Alabama
18.0
Auburn
33.5
Auburn win probability: 84%
Margin (Auburn − South Alabama): 15.5 (80% range -4 to 35)
Total: 51.5 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: South Alabama 15 – Auburn 31 (margin error 0.5, total error 5.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.81% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 10 | 28 | 0.70% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.