2025 Week 13 · Nov 22, 2025, 8:30 PM · Hancock Whitney Stadium

Southern Miss @ South Alabama

Predicted scoreLean

Southern Miss

24.2

South Alabama

29.3

South Alabama win probability: 63%

Margin (South Alabama − Southern Miss): 5.2 (80% range -15 to 25)

Total: 53.5 (80% range 31 to 78)

Actual: Southern Miss 35 – South Alabama 42 (margin error 1.8, total error 23.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.