2025 Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025, 11:00 PM · Hancock Whitney Stadium

Tulane @ South Alabama

Predicted scoreLean

Tulane

29.6

South Alabama

22.8

South Alabama win probability: 34%

Margin (South Alabama − Tulane): -6.8 (80% range -28 to 14)

Total: 52.4 (80% range 30 to 76)

Actual: Tulane 33 – South Alabama 31 (margin error 4.8, total error 11.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.