2025 Week 10 · Nov 1, 2025, 7:30 PM · Hancock Whitney Stadium

Louisiana @ South Alabama

Predicted scoreLean

Louisiana

23.8

South Alabama

28.7

South Alabama win probability: 62%

Margin (South Alabama − Louisiana): 4.9 (80% range -15 to 25)

Total: 52.5 (80% range 30 to 77)

Actual: Louisiana 31 – South Alabama 22 (margin error 13.9, total error 0.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.