2025 Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025, 11:00 PM · Hancock Whitney Stadium

Coastal Carolina @ South Alabama

Predicted scoreLikely

Coastal Carolina

19.2

South Alabama

30.9

South Alabama win probability: 77%

Margin (South Alabama − Coastal Carolina): 11.7 (80% range -8 to 31)

Total: 50.2 (80% range 28 to 73)

Actual: Coastal Carolina 38 – South Alabama 20 (margin error 29.7, total error 7.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.