2026 Week 10 · Nov 7, 2026, 5:00 AM · Cajun Field
South Alabama @ Louisiana
Predicted scoreToss-up
South Alabama
25.2
Louisiana
28.1
Louisiana win probability: 57%
Margin (Louisiana − South Alabama): 2.9 (80% range -17 to 23)
Total: 53.3 (80% range 30 to 78)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.72% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.62% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:15 PM | 2.9 | 53.3 | 57% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:22 PM | 2.9 | 53.3 | 57% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:11 PM | 2.9 | 53.3 | 57% |