2024 Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024, 10:00 PM · Peden Stadium
South Alabama @ Ohio
Predicted scoreToss-up
South Alabama
25.4
Ohio
29.3
Ohio win probability: 60%
Margin (Ohio − South Alabama): 4.0 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 54.7 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: South Alabama 20 – Ohio 27 (margin error 3.0, total error 7.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.72% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.67% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.