2024 Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024, 9:00 PM · Hancock Whitney Stadium

UL Monroe @ South Alabama

Predicted scoreLean

UL Monroe

21.0

South Alabama

27.8

South Alabama win probability: 67%

Margin (South Alabama − UL Monroe): 6.7 (80% range -13 to 27)

Total: 48.8 (80% range 27 to 72)

Actual: UL Monroe 17 – South Alabama 46 (margin error 22.3, total error 14.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.