2024 Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024, 11:45 PM · Tiger Stadium (LA)
South Alabama @ LSU
Predicted scoreLikely
South Alabama
24.7
LSU
36.9
LSU win probability: 77%
Margin (LSU − South Alabama): 12.2 (80% range -9 to 33)
Total: 61.6 (80% range 37 to 89)
Actual: South Alabama 10 – LSU 42 (margin error 19.8, total error 9.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 38 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 35 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 35 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.