2023 Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023, 9:00 PM · Hancock Whitney Stadium

Central Michigan @ South Alabama

Predicted scoreLikely

Central Michigan

18.3

South Alabama

34.4

South Alabama win probability: 84%

Margin (South Alabama − Central Michigan): 16.1 (80% range -4 to 37)

Total: 52.7 (80% range 30 to 77)

Actual: Central Michigan 34 – South Alabama 30 (margin error 20.1, total error 11.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.