2023 Week 1 · Sep 3, 2023, 12:00 AM · Yulman Stadium
South Alabama @ Tulane
Predicted scoreLikely
South Alabama
21.2
Tulane
32.2
Tulane win probability: 75%
Margin (Tulane − South Alabama): 11.0 (80% range -10 to 31)
Total: 53.4 (80% range 30 to 79)
Actual: South Alabama 17 – Tulane 37 (margin error 9.0, total error 0.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.86% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.