2023 Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023, 11:00 PM · Malone Stadium
South Alabama @ UL Monroe
Predicted scoreLikely
South Alabama
31.3
UL Monroe
18.7
UL Monroe win probability: 21%
Margin (UL Monroe − South Alabama): -12.6 (80% range -32 to 7)
Total: 50.0 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: South Alabama 55 – UL Monroe 7 (margin error 35.4, total error 12.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.85% |
| 24 | 10 | 0.78% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.77% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.