2023 Postseason · Dec 24, 2023, 12:00 AM · Hancock Whitney Stadium

South Alabama @ Eastern Michigan

Predicted scoreLean

South Alabama

30.9

Eastern Michigan

24.5

Eastern Michigan win probability: 35%

Margin (Eastern Michigan − South Alabama): -6.4 (80% range -28 to 14)

Total: 55.4 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: South Alabama 59 – Eastern Michigan 10 (margin error 42.6, total error 13.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.