2023 Postseason · Dec 24, 2023, 12:00 AM · Hancock Whitney Stadium
South Alabama @ Eastern Michigan
Predicted scoreLean
South Alabama
30.9
Eastern Michigan
24.5
Eastern Michigan win probability: 35%
Margin (Eastern Michigan − South Alabama): -6.4 (80% range -28 to 14)
Total: 55.4 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: South Alabama 59 – Eastern Michigan 10 (margin error 42.6, total error 13.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.67% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.63% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.62% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.