2023 Week 9 · Oct 28, 2023, 9:00 PM · Hancock Whitney Stadium

Louisiana @ South Alabama

Predicted scoreLikely

Louisiana

20.7

South Alabama

32.7

South Alabama win probability: 78%

Margin (South Alabama − Louisiana): 12.1 (80% range -7 to 32)

Total: 53.4 (80% range 31 to 78)

Actual: Louisiana 33 – South Alabama 20 (margin error 25.1, total error 0.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.